Yesterday I was invited to be part of the BMW Group Dialogues in Berlin, where we discussed the future of mobility, cities in progress, and sustainable transportation. We were deeply looking into car-less cities, or cities with a seamless conjunction of a wide range of mobility services.
A growing number of technology analysts are predicting that in less than 20 years we’ll all have stopped owning cars just as we did horses and buggies. So how will this latest transportation revolution unfold? Tony Seba and his think-tank team RethinkX call the idea of driverless cars in an uber like system “transport as a service”. Estimates say it could save the average American as much as $6,000 (£4,560) a year, the equivalent of a 10% pay rise. The UK has said it hopes to authorise the first fully autonomous cars as early as 2021. RethinkX, think that within 10 years of regulatory approval, 95% of passenger miles will be through “TaaS”. The logic of this upheaval isn’t driven by or worries about global warming or pollution, but the fact expensive combustion engines and human drivers are becoming obsolete.
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